What are the current odds for "Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 94.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $141.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 94.5% or No shares at 5.5%. The market has $36.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketsports

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?

Updated Today

U.S. inflation exceeding 3% throughout 2026 is heavily favored at 95%, reflecting economist consensus that price growth won't return to the Fed's 2% target within the year. Persistent wage pressures, energy costs, and geopolitical factors make a return to pre-pandemic inflation levels difficult despite recent disinflation trends.

Current Probability

94.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.06 return per $1

If No wins

$18.18 return per $1