What are the current odds for "NCAA Tournament: No. 16 seed to pull off an upset?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $166.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "NCAA Tournament: No. 16 seed to pull off an upset?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.1% or No shares at 100.0%. The market has $134.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 weeks (Apr 7, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketculture

NCAA Tournament: No. 16 seed to pull off an upset?

Updated Today

March Madness 2026 typically features Cinderella stories, but markets give a No. 16 seed just a 4% chance of pulling off an upset through the tournament's conclusion by April 7. The NCAA's bracket structure makes such deep runs exceptionally rare despite their cultural appeal.

Current Probability

0.1%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2000.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.00 return per $1