Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion?

As of March 22, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion? are: Above 170‎ billion: 91%, 85‎ billion to 94.9‎ billion: 9%, 105‎ billion to 119.5‎ billion: 6%, 120‎ billion to 139.9‎ billion: 5%, 140‎ billion to 170‎ billion: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.

Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105‎ billion and 119.5‎ billion? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.