Updated Today
If US new home sales (New Residential Sales) for March 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, SAAR, reported in thousands of homes) is above 740,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will US new home sales for March 2026 be above 600,000? are: Above 600,000: 86%, Above 620,000: 81%, Above 640,000: 66%, Above 660,000: 48%, Above 700,000: 44%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will US new home sales for March 2026 be above 600,000? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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