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If there are more than 50000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will there be more than 100000 government employees cut before Jan 2027? are: More than 50,000: 87%, More than 100,000: 52%, More than 200,000: 26%, More than 150,000: 24%, More than 350,000: 11%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will there be more than 100000 government employees cut before Jan 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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