US-Iran nuclear deal?
Updated 7m ago
If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of July 13, 2026, the Kalshi odds for US-Iran nuclear deal? are: Before Jan 20, 2029: 68%, Before 2028: 50%, Before 2027: 28%, Before December: 24%, Before November: 15%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
US-Iran nuclear deal? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
3pp
3pp
