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If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.4% in February 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Above 0.2%on Mar 27, 2026
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in February 2026? are: Above 0.2%: 98%, Above 0.0%: 95%, Above 0.1%: 93%, Above 0.3%: 76%, Above 0.4%: 11%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in February 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.