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If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.4% in August 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in August 2026? are: Above 0.0%: 90%, Above 0.1%: 72%, Above 0.2%: 56%, Above 0.3%: 29%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the rate of core PCE inflation be above 0.0% in August 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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