Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.1% for the year ending in April 2026?
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If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 3.5% in the twelve months ending April 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Above 2.3%on May 12, 2026
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.1% for the year ending in April 2026? are: Above 2.3%: 96%, Above 2.1%: 93%, Above 2.2%: 90%, Above 2.5%: 76%, Above 2.4%: 75%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.1% for the year ending in April 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.