How low will the S&P get this year?
Updated 5h ago
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6600.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of September 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for How low will the S&P get this year? are: 6,600 or below: 99%, 6,400 or below: 98%, 6,500 or below: 94%, 6,300 or below: 15%, 6,200 or below: 12%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
How low will the S&P get this year? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
