Updated Today
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6600.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: 6,600 or belowon Jan 1, 2027
As of March 22, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027? are: 6,600 or below: 99%, 6,400 or below: 94%, 6,500 or below: 90%, 6,300 or below: 82%, 6,200 or below: 73%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
