Will the margin of victory for Emmanuel Grégoire in the 2026 Paris mayoral runoff be between 10% and 15%?
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If the margin of victory for Rachida Dati in the 2026 Paris mayoral runoff falls at least 0%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the margin of victory for Emmanuel Grégoire in the 2026 Paris mayoral runoff be between 10% and 15%? are: Emmanuel Grégoire, 0-5%: 60%, Rachida Dati wins: 31%, Emmanuel Grégoire, 5-10%: 15%, Emmanuel Grégoire, 10-15%: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the margin of victory for Emmanuel Grégoire in the 2026 Paris mayoral runoff be between 10% and 15%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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