When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Updated 2m ago
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of July 20, 2026, the Kalshi odds for When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? are: Before Jul 1, 2027: 70%, Before Apr 1, 2027: 63%, Before Jan 1, 2027: 44%, Before Dec 1, 2026: 32%, Before Nov 1, 2026: 26%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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