Will the 7-day moving average of daily vessel transit calls as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 1 on Apr 1, 2026?
Updated Today
If the 7-day moving average of daily vessel transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 70 on Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the 7-day moving average of daily vessel transit calls as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 1 on Apr 1, 2026? are: Above 1: 98%, Above 3: 95%, Above 5: 87%, Above 10: 53%, Above 20: 34%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the 7-day moving average of daily vessel transit calls as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 1 on Apr 1, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Winner: Above 1on Apr 7, 2026
