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If Sergey Brin is the world's first trillionare before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 20, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Bernard Arnault & family be the world's first trillionaire? are: Elon Musk: 86%, Jensen Huang: 5%, Jeff Bezos: 4%, Larry Page: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Bernard Arnault & family be the world's first trillionaire? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.