Updated Today
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Mar 9, 2026 to Mar 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will number of transit calls as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 20 from Mar 9, 2026 to Mar 15, 2026? are: Above 10: 99%, Above 15: 99%, Above 20: 87%, Above 30: 14%, Above 70: 10%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will number of transit calls as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 20 from Mar 9, 2026 to Mar 15, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Winner: Above 10on Mar 17, 2026