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If at least one export shipment of crude oil or refined petroleum products from Petróleos Mexicanos (“Pemex”) to Cuba is confirmed to have occurred before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba before July 1, 2026? are: Before July 1, 2026: 72%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Mexico resume oil exports to Cuba before July 1, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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