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If Brett Matsumoto is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of Labor Statistics before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Billy Long be confirmed as Ambassador to Iceland before May 1, 2026? are: Billy Long: 77%, Stevan Pearce: 76%, Robert Cekada: 57%, Sean Plankey: 8%, Casey Means: 7%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Billy Long be confirmed as Ambassador to Iceland before May 1, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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