Updated Today
If Blue Moon has won Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Sinnerson Mar 16, 2026
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the Oscars? are: Sinners: 99%, Rental Family: 2%, Jay Kelly: 2%, If I Had Legs I'd Kick You: 2%, The Smashing Machine: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the Oscars? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
