Updated Today
If Anthropic releases Claude 5 before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Anthropic release A model called Claude 5 or greater before Aug 1, 2026? are: Before Oct 1, 2026: 87%, Before Nov 1, 2026: 84%, Before Sep 1, 2026: 79%, Before Aug 1, 2026: 54%, Before Jul 1, 2026: 29%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Anthropic release A model called Claude 5 or greater before Aug 1, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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