Updated Today
If the team officially announced as the winner of the #1 overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft Lottery has between 9% to 13% odds, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 20, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will a team with below 3% odds win the #1 overall pick? are: At least 14% odds: 46%, Between 9% and 13% odds: 35%, Between 3% and 8% odds: 18%, Below 3% odds: 8%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will a team with below 3% odds win the #1 overall pick? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Buy