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If Amanda McKinney advances to the general election in WA-4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will win the WA-4 primary? are: Amanda McKinney: 83%, John Duresky: 69%, Jerrod Sessler: 45%, Wesley Meier: 8%, Dan Newhouse: 6%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will win the WA-4 primary? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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