International Criminal Court
Dario Amodei
Yulia Navalnaya
Donald Trump
MinneapolisUpdated yesterday
If [outcome] wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.


Before 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: International Criminal Court: 3%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Outcome: No — none of the listed outcomes occurred














































