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If Minneapolis wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? are: Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs): 26%, Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières): 19%, Narges Mohammadi: 9%, Francesca Albanese: 9%, Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue: 9%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
