Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026? are: Hong Wang: 83%, Jacob Tsimerman: 61%, Jack Thorne: 48%, John Pardon: 44%, Yu Deng: 43%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.