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If Vinicius Junior wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? are: Lamine Yamal: 30%, Kylian Mbappe: 25%, Harry Kane: 23%, Lionel Messi: 19%, Declan Rice: 17%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.