Updated Today
If Pablo Virgilio David becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Robert Prevoston May 8, 2025
As of March 20, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will the next Pope be? are: Robert Prevost: 99%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will the next Pope be? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.