Updated Today
If Japan recognizes Palestine before Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Franceon Oct 5, 2025
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will recognize Palestine? are: France: 99%, Canada: 99%, United Kingdom: 99%, Italy: 7%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will recognize Palestine? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
