Updated Ended
If Elon Musk backs a challenger to Tom Cole before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 20, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? are: John Thune: 14%, Tom Cole: 12%, Steve Daines: 5%, Kevin Cramer: 3%, Mike Johnson: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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