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If Rafael Grossi is confirmed as Secretary-General for UN before Jan 5, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? are: Rafael Grossi: 59%, Amina J. Mohammed: 13%, Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés: 13%, Rebeca Grynspan: 13%, Michelle Bachelet: 8%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will be the next Secretary-General of UN? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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