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If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Watch before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? are: Earbuds/Headphones: 67%, Clip-on device for clothing: 24%, Glasses: 19%, Necklace: 16%, Computer: 12%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.