Updated Today
If Qwen is the #1 coding model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Mar 21, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Claudeon Mar 21, 2026
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Top Coding AI this week? are: Claude: 97%, Grok: 4%, Gemini: 3%, ChatGPT: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Top Coding AI this week? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
