
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Updated 4h ago
If the Tesla Optimus (or another humanoid robot) is on sale to the general public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of September 11, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Tesla Optimus released this year? are: Before 2027: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Tesla Optimus released this year? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.