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If the number of oil rigs in the United States reported at the end of 2026 is at least 430, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? are: At least 370: 85%, At least 380: 83%, At least 390: 82%, At least 420: 74%, At least 400: 73%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
How many oil rigs will the US have at the end of the year? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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