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If New York City has less than 115 billionaires in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 21, 2026, the Kalshi odds for How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? are: At least 3: 30%, At least 8: 17%, At least 13: 14%, At least 23: 8%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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