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If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $800 before January 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Above $600on Jul 2, 2025
As of March 20, 2026, the Kalshi odds for How high will the price of fertilizer get this year? are: Above $600: 95%, Above $650: 8%, Above $700: 5%, Above $800: 4%, Above $625: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
