Updated Today
If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 19, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Best AI in Dec 2026? are: Claude: 47%, Gemini: 28%, Grok: 18%, ChatGPT: 13%, Qwen: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Best AI in Dec 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
