Compare Reza Pahlavi's Attempted Entry into Iran prediction market odds side by side across Polymarket, Kalshi. Platforms currently disagree by an average of 15.5pp, with the largest spread reaching 15.5pp. These price differences can signal arbitrage opportunities or reflect different trader sentiment. With $1.80M in combined trading volume across 1 outcomes, this is one of the most actively traded cross-platform prediction markets.
YesCost: 85¢ per pair → pays $1 at resolution. Gross spread 15.5pp before fees.
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