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Home/Questions/How Will the Supreme Court Rule?

How Will the Supreme Court Rule?

Prediction market odds on major SCOTUS decisions

Live odds across Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless · refreshes every 15 minutes

The Supreme Court shapes American law on everything from civil rights to business regulation. Prediction markets track the odds of key rulings, providing real-money probabilities on cases that could reshape the legal landscape.

Frequently Asked Questions

What do prediction markets say about upcoming SCOTUS cases?

Prediction markets price Supreme Court ruling outcomes based on oral arguments, judicial philosophy, and legal analysis. Check the live markets below.

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Live answer·Updated just now

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

7.2%Before Jan 1, 2027-1.7pp 24hView market
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
16.0%Andrew Oldham
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
48.0%1
Active Markets
20
Total Volume
$2.45M
24h Volume
$11.7K
Platforms
2

Samuel Alito Retires Supreme Court 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Vol $1.06M24h $1.4K
KL

Next Supreme Court Justice

Jan 21, 2029
Andrew Oldham
James Ho
Aileen Cannon
Vol $666.9K24h $5
KL

President Confirms 9 Justices 2025-29

Jan 20, 2029
1
2
0
Vol $208.1K24h $1
KL

Supreme Court Justice Confirmed Before 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Before 2028
Before Jan 21, 2029
Before June 2027
Vol $199.9K24h $1
KL

Supreme Court Overturns Gay Marriage

Jan 1, 2029
Before 2029
No
Vol $99.8K24h $106
KL

Supreme Court Bans Transgender Girls Sports

Jan 1, 2029
Before 2029
No
Vol $40.9K24h $90
KL

Supreme Court Hears Trump Tariffs Case 2026

Jan 1, 2027
a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump
No
Vol $31.8K24h $110
KL

Supreme Court 9-0 Republican Jan 2029

Jan 20, 2029
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
Not nine justices
Vol $29.0K24h $0
KL
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Dec 31
Yes
No
Vol $28.7K24h $72
PM

Supreme Court Rehear Trump Birthright 2026

Jan 8, 2027
Yes1%
No99%
Vol $27.1K24h $513
KL

Trump Meets Sitting Supreme Court

Dec 31
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Aug 1, 2026
Vol $12.8K24h $42
KL

Supreme Court Cases Agreed Hearing 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory
Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche
Roybal v. Griffith
Vol $11.2K24h $1.1K
KL

Kansas Supreme Court Election Amendment 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Yes1%
No99%
Vol $10.3K24h $8.3K
KL

Supreme Court 3rd Amendment Case 2029

Jan 20, 2029
any 3rd Amendment case
No
Vol $8.6K24h $0
KL

Supreme Court Justice Charged Federal Crime

Jan 1, 2027
Yes
No
Vol $5.5K24h $0
KL

Supreme Court Size Changed Trump Presidency

Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 20, 2029
No
Vol $5.3K24h $0
KL
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Dec 31
Yes
No
Vol $4.4K24h $4
PM

Ohio Supreme Court Hawkins Seat Winner

Nov 3
Dan Hawkins
Marilyn Zayas
Vol $2.6K24h $0
KL

Supreme Court Boulder Climate Claims

Dec 31
Before Aug 1, 2028
No
Vol $40024h $0
KL

Sarah Stevens North Carolina Supreme

Jan 4, 2027
Anita Earls
No
Vol $32424h $0
KL