Prediction market odds on SCOTUS vacancies
Supreme Court vacancies reshape American law for decades — and prediction markets let traders price the probability of retirements and departures. With politically sensitive timing around presidential terms, SCOTUS vacancy markets capture both health/age factors and strategic retirement calculations.
Prediction markets offer contracts on individual justice departures as well as general vacancy probabilities. Check the live markets below for the latest odds.
Age and health are primary factors, but strategic considerations (wanting to be replaced by an ideologically aligned president) also play a role. Prediction market prices reflect trader consensus on each justice.
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
