Live odds on Russian advances, city captures, and frontline movement
Polymarket has hundreds of granular markets on the Russia-Ukraine frontline — individual city captures, monthly resolution windows, and specific military objectives. These markets aggregate intelligence from OSINT analysts, military bloggers, and battlefield reports faster than mainstream news. Below are the most actively traded territory markets, ranked by volume.
Each market specifies the exact city or area and uses a credible source — typically ISW (Institute for the Study of War) maps, DeepStateMap.live, or official Ukrainian announcements. The "Resolution Criteria" section on each market explains exactly what counts.
Territory markets have generally tracked OSINT reporting closely. They tend to price slowly during stable frontlines and move sharply on confirmed breakthroughs — making them a useful complement to traditional military analysis.
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