Prediction market odds on Elon Musk decisions and behavior
Elon Musk is the single most-traded individual on prediction markets, with over $120M in combined volume across hundreds of contracts. From tweet frequency to DOGE leadership to Tesla stock price targets, traders are pricing virtually every aspect of Musk's public life. These markets turn the world's most unpredictable CEO into a quantified probability distribution.
Markets cover tweet frequency, DOGE department leadership, Tesla price targets, SpaceX milestones, political involvement, and more. The sheer variety of Musk-related contracts makes him the most tracked individual on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Over $120M in combined volume, spanning 700+ individual markets. Tweet-counting alone is a $90M+ category. See the live markets below for the full scope.
Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
