Prediction market odds on H5N1 human transmission
H5N1 avian influenza has jumped to dairy cattle and caused sporadic human infections, putting pandemic preparedness back in the spotlight. Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi offer contracts on human case counts, outbreak thresholds, and pandemic declaration scenarios — providing a real-time risk assessment.
Prediction markets offer contracts on various H5N1 outbreak scenarios. Current odds reflect the latest epidemiological data and expert assessments. Check the live markets below for probabilities on different case count thresholds.
H5N1 has a high fatality rate in confirmed human cases but currently lacks efficient human-to-human transmission. Prediction markets price the probability of the virus acquiring this capability — the key factor for pandemic potential.
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