Live prediction market odds on Brazil's 2026 presidential race
The 2026 Brazilian presidential election is one of Latin America's most-watched political contests. Prediction markets aggregate views from traders worldwide on whether Lula wins re-election, whether a Bolsonaro family member returns, or whether a new face emerges. Below are the most actively traded markets, ranked by volume.
Prediction market odds change in real time based on polling, economic data, and political developments. Check the live markets below for the latest probability across Polymarket and Kalshi.
Markets price odds for several potential challengers including Tarcísio de Freitas, members of the Bolsonaro family, and other right-wing candidates. The exact field crystallizes as parties select nominees.
The first round is scheduled for October 2026, with a runoff in late October if no candidate wins more than 50% of the first-round vote.
2026 Brazilian Presidential Election
