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Home/Kalshi/Economics
Kalshi

Top Kalshi Economics Markets

Fed, inflation, recession, GDP, and macro prediction markets

Visit Kalshi

Ranked by trending score (24h activity, price moves, deadline urgency). Click any market for live price history, cross-platform comparison, and trade links. All Kalshi markets →

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Economics on Other Platforms

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Federal Reserve Rate Hike Sep 2026

Federal Reserve Rate Hike Sep 2026

Sep 16
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
Hike >25bps
Vol $10.86M24h $566.9K
Number of Fed rate cuts in 2026

Number of Fed rate cuts in 2026

Dec 31
0 (0 bps)
Exactly 13 cuts
Exactly 1 cut
Vol $56.21M24h $77.9K
polymarketkalshi

Nasdaq 100 Above 33,000 Dec 2026

Dec 31
33,000.01 or above
32,500 to 33,000
18,999.99 or below
Vol $3.63M24h $21.6K

Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at its next meeting?

Jan 1, 2028
Before 2028
Before July 2027
Before 2027
Vol $4.80M24h $20.5K
polymarketkalshi

S&P 500 Above 9000 2026

Dec 31
8,000 to 8,199.99
7,800 to 7,999.99
7,600 to 7,799.99
Vol $4.62M24h $20.9K
Anthropic IPO Announcement by Aug 2026

Anthropic IPO Announcement by Aug 2026

Apr 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
Vol $714.8K24h $8.2K

US Recession 2027

Jan 31, 2028
Yes
No
Vol $186.8K24h $15.5K

Federal Reserve Rate Cut 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Cuts
No
Vol $990.9K24h $4.8K

NFL Defensive Rookie Year Winner 2026

Mar 30, 2027
Rueben Bain Jr.
Caleb Downs
David Bailey
Vol $266.1K24h $8.4K
OpenAI IPO Announcement Before Jun 2027

OpenAI IPO Announcement Before Jun 2027

Jun 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
Before Feb 1, 2027
Vol $536.5K24h $5.3K
Fed Rate Cut Over 25bps 2026

Fed Rate Cut Over 25bps 2026

Jan 1, 2027
In 2026
No
Vol $576.6K24h $3.4K

S&P 500 Price Range Aug 21 4pm EDT

3d
7,725 to 7,749.9999
7,775 to 7,799.9999
7,750 to 7,774.9999
Vol $126.0K24h $3.0K
Federal Reserve Hike Over 25bps Oct 28

Federal Reserve Hike Over 25bps Oct 28

Oct 28
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
Cut 25bps
Vol $224.0K24h $2.6K

US Government Shutdown Oct 1

Oct 2
Yes
No
Vol $190.1K24h $3.0K
Anthropic IPO Before OpenAI by Jan 2040

Anthropic IPO Before OpenAI by Jan 2040

Jan 1, 2040
Anthropic
OpenAI
Vol $341.3K24h $1.6K

S&P 500 Positive Year End 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Positive Growth
No
Vol $973.6K24h $531

ADS-B Aircraft Tracking Law 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
College sports federalization
Export-control chip security
Vol $560.5K24h $837
Bank of Canada Rate Hike Oct 2026

Bank of Canada Rate Hike Oct 2026

Oct 28
Maintains rate
Hike 25bps
Cut 25bps
Vol $67.3K24h $1.5K

US GDP Growth Above 5 Percent

Jan 26, 2029
Above 5%
No
Vol $176.1K24h $183

US Unemployment Above 9 Percent 2026

Jan 8, 2027
Above 4.5%
Above 5%
Above 6%
Vol $663.8K24h $120

US Real GDP Growth Q1 2027

Apr 29, 2027
Above 0.0%
Above 0.5%
Above 1.0%
Vol $94.4K24h $355

Next James Bond Actor

Jan 1, 2030
Callum Turner
Jack Lowden
Jacob Elordi
Vol $1.52M24h $7.7K

Central Banks Rate Hike Before 2027

Jan 1, 2027
Norges Bank
Riksbank
US Federal Reserve
Vol $44.1K24h $415

Nasdaq-100 Above 30,000 in 2026

Dec 31
31,000 or above
31,200 or above
31,600 or above
Vol $63.2K24h $292

Texas Gas Prices Below 2.30 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Below $2.30
Below $2.20
Below $1.80
Vol $107.5K24h $166

Robert Downey Jr Iron Man 2026

Jan 1, 2027
By Jan 1, 2027
No
Vol $35.6K24h $253
US Recession 2025 or 2026

US Recession 2025 or 2026

Jan 31, 2027
Starts
No
Vol $3.31M24h $6.7K

Federal Government Bitcoin Mining 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Before 2027
No
Vol $53.7K24h $104
Fed Emergency Rate Cuts Four Times 2026

Fed Emergency Rate Cuts Four Times 2026

Dec 31
0 cuts
1 cuts
2 cuts
Vol $389.2K24h $30

Fed Rate Hike Jul 28, 2027

Jul 28, 2027
Fed maintains rate
Cut 25bps
Hike 25bps
Vol $50.9K24h $100

US Real GDP Growth Q4 2026

Jan 28, 2027
Above 0.0%
Above 0.5%
Above 1.0%
Vol $57.8K24h $79

Starlink IPO Announcement Before May 2027

Jun 1, 2027
Before Jun 30, 2027
Before May 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
Vol $149.6K24h $37

Americans Receive Tariff Stimulus Checks

Jan 1, 2027
Before 2027
No
Vol $1.16M24h $3.6K

US Gas Prices Exceed $6 in 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Above $4.60
Above $4.80
Above $5.00
Vol $1.32M24h $1.8K

NASDAQ-100 Positive Year 2026

Jan 1, 2027
25,249.86 or above
No
Vol $135.1K24h $17
Federal Reserve Hike Dec 9

Federal Reserve Hike Dec 9

Dec 9
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
Cut 25bps
Vol $78.8K24h $17

US Takes Stake in TikTok 2026

Jan 1, 2027
GlobalFoundries
Rigetti Computing
D-Wave Quantum
Vol $1.01M24h $874

Federal Reserve Rate Hike Dec 2027

Dec 8, 2027
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
Cut 25bps
Vol $118.8K24h $10

Fed Rate Hike Oct 2027

Oct 27, 2027
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
Cut 25bps
Vol $53.8K24h $13

US Government Shutdowns 2026

Apr 1, 2027
2
3
4
Vol $50.7K24h $13

IMF Global Recession Declaration 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Before 2027
No
Vol $54.5K24h $11
US Real GDP Growth Above 6.1% 2026

US Real GDP Growth Above 6.1% 2026

Feb 28, 2027
2.1% to 2.5%
1.6% to 2.0%
0.6% to 1.0%
Vol $169.8K24h $3

US Credit Rating Downgrade 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Rating reduced
No
Vol $73.8K24h $3
US Recession Starts Q1 2026

US Recession Starts Q1 2026

Dec 31
Q1 2026
Q2 2025
Q4 2025
Vol $312.2K24h $0

Federal Reserve Emergency Meeting 2026

Jan 2, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
No
Vol $173.1K24h $0

Countries Experiencing Recession Before 2027

Dec 31
United Kingdom
Japan
China
Vol $149.0K24h $0

China Overtakes USA GDP By 2030

Jan 1, 2030
By 2030
No
Vol $128.3K24h $0
Anduril IPO Announcement Before May 2027

Anduril IPO Announcement Before May 2027

Jun 1, 2027
Before Jun 1, 2027
Before May 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
Vol $83.0K24h $0

CPI Above 3.5 Percent 2026

Jan 1, 2027
Above 4.4%
Above 4.2%
Above 4.3%
Vol $78.2K24h $0

U.S. Federal Deficit Below 5% FY2026

Jan 18, 2027
Below 5%
No
Vol $69.2K24h $0

Core CPI Below 2.2% 2026

Dec 17
Yes
No
Vol $38.7K24h $0

Core CPI Above Headline August 2026

Sep 11
In August 2026
No
Vol $32.4K24h $0

Citrini Recession Scenario Occurs by 2028

Jul 1, 2028
Yes
No
Vol $25.90M24h $0