What are the current odds for " World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 23.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $12.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on " World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 23.5% or No shares at 76.5%. The market has $1.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 days (Jul 20, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketsports

World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

Updated 3 weeks ago

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Currently 23.5% on Polymarket, with $12,199 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

23.5%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.26 return per $1

If No wins

$1.31 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve “Yes” if Lionel Messi scores a goal directly from a free kick during any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A direct free kick goal is one scored directly from the free kick and officially credited to Lionel Messi by FIFA. A goal that deflects off the wall or a defender and still enters the net counts, provided FIFA credits the goal to Messi. A free kick first touched by a teammate does not count. Penalty kicks and penalty shootout goals do not count.

If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Messi scored a direct free kick goal within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket Jun 7, 2026 · Resolves Jul 20, 2026