What are the current odds for "Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 7.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $99.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 7.5% or No shares at 92.5%. The market has $18.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

Updated 3 hr ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Currently 7.5% on Polymarket, with $99,777 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

7.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$13.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.08 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket Apr 28, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026