What are the current odds for "UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 26.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $47.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 26.5% or No shares at 73.5%. The market has $30.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Updated 21 min ago

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. Currently 26.5% on Polymarket, with $47,932 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

26.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.77 return per $1

If No wins

$1.36 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Listed on Polymarket Jun 23, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026