
Updated 1 month ago
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? This market resolved at 100.0% on Polymarket, with $226,822 in total trading volume.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.00 return per $1
If No wins
N/A
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
View full rulesListed on Polymarket Jun 9, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026
Resolution In Review
Trading has closed and the UMA oracle is finalizing the outcome. This usually means a resolution has been proposed and is within the dispute window, or has been disputed and is being re-proposed. Final payouts are not yet settled.
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