What was the result for "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?"?

This market resolved at 100.0% on Polymarket with $280.2K in total volume traded.

How much was traded on "Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?"?

$280.2K was traded on this market on Polymarket. The market has now closed.

PolymarkettechIn Review

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Updated 1 month ago

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode? This market resolved at 100.0% on Polymarket, with $280,152 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

100.0%+0.26%24h

View on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.00 return per $1

If No wins

N/A

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).

If the twelfth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

View full rules

Listed on Polymarket May 4, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Resolution In Review

Trading has closed and the UMA oracle is finalizing the outcome. This usually means a resolution has been proposed and is within the dispute window, or has been disputed and is being re-proposed. Final payouts are not yet settled.