What are the current odds for "Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 100.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $13.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 100.0% or No shares at 0.0%. The market has $273.8K in liquidity.

Polymarkettech

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Updated 1 month ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Currently 100.0% on Polymarket, with $13,377 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

100.0%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.00 return per $1

If No wins

$2000.00 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.

This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.

If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Listed on Polymarket Apr 27, 2026