What are the current odds for "Will Little Joe escape again?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 40.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Little Joe escape again?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 40.0% or No shares at 60.0%. The market has $120 in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 weeks (Jul 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Will Little Joe escape again?

Updated 1 month ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Currently 40.0% on Polymarket, with $1,156 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

40.0%+0.37%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.50 return per $1

If No wins

$1.67 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.

This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.

Listed on Polymarket May 14, 2026 · Resolves Jul 31, 2026